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Brexit delay may cause transaction dip next year – haart

  • 21/11/2018
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Extended Brexit negotiations may cause a transaction volume dip of 20 per cent in 2019, estate agency haart has warned.


Buyer registrations are up by 37 per cent but Brexit uncertainty is holding back transaction levels.

House prices across England and Wales fell by 1.4% on the month and by 0.8% on the year, with the average house price standing at £220,353.

The number of properties coming onto the market this month rose by 1.1% and by 16.9% on the year. In October, there were over 10 buyers chasing every property across England and Wales.

The market was less efficient this month, as the number of transactions fell by 3.3%, while the number of viewings also fell by 2.8%.


First-time buyers


The average purchase price for first-time buyers has fallen by 2.7% on the month and by 9.8% on the year. This comes as the number of first-time buyers registering onto the market has dropped by 3.2% on the month, but rose by 14.9% on the year.

Paul Smith, CEO of haart, said that despite negative Brexit rhetoric from Westminster and the industry, the property market remained resilient in October.

He added: “I believe that even if we encountered a hard Brexit, we would be very unlikely to see the significant price falls encountered during the credit crunch. Greater regulation in the banking and mortgage market, a shortage of supply and government support which underpins the first time buyer market means that a far more likely outcome would be a reduction in transaction volumes.

“The next couple of weeks will prove interesting. Below are my predictions of what could happen to the UK’s housing market following various Brexit scenarios – in my opinion the greatest threat is a delay to Brexit because of political posturing. We could expect a super-charged property market in 2019 if a positive Brexit deal is agreed.

“A no deal Brexit would likely result in a short term blow for the property market, at what would normally be a peak time of the year for activity. The most likely impact would be a slower market, with fewer transactions taking place as both buyers and sellers hit the brakes on their plans.

“Whilst a no deal scenario would potentially be quite damaging, an extended period of Brexit negotiations beyond the set date of March 2019 could prove just as detrimental.”

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