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Base rate held but vote still split

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  • 19/12/2019
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Base rate held but vote still split
The Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to hold the bank's base rate at 0.75 per cent, with the two dissenting members voting for a rate reduction.

 

Members Jonathan Haskel and Michael Saunders were the two who went against the vote, both proposing a cut to 0.5 per cent and is the second month in a row they have voted to lower the rate to 0.5 per cent.

This falls in line with comments Saunders made in September where he suggested that in the event the UK avoids a no-deal Brexit, the next base rate move would be down instead of up. 

 

Monetary policy still uncertain

The BoE maintained its stance on which direction monetary policy could go in despite the Conservatives election victory.

The central bank noted it “could respond in either direction to changes in the economic outlook in order to ensure a sustainable return of inflation to the two per cent target”. 

The committee said it would monitor how businesses and households responded to Brexit developments in order determine its next move. 

 

Continued caution 

Frances Haque, Santander UK chief economist, said: “The decision to hold rates was widely expected given the outcome of the general election increases the certainty of the UK leaving the EU at the end of January, reducing the risk of a continuing ‘slow puncture’ in the UK economy. 

“The economic data published so far for the last quarter of this year indicates that growth will likely be weak or perhaps even negative and continues to depend on consumer spending to fuel growth.   

She added: “However, with inflation well below the target rate and with the likelihood of reduced uncertainty, at least in the short term, the MPC is clearly standing by its cautious approach and will wait to see what type of momentum is carried into the beginning of 2020.” 

 

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