You are here: Home - News -

Unexpected inflation rise reinforces BoE’s rate hike timetable

  • 19/09/2018
  • 0
Unexpected inflation rise reinforces BoE’s rate hike timetable
Consumer prices unexpectedly jumped to a six-month high in August dealing a blow to squeezed British households.


The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) measure of inflation rose to 2.7% up from 2.5% in July, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Markets and economists had expected a small drop to 2.4%. But increased costs for recreational and cultural goods and services, transport services and clothing pushed the rate up for the second consecutive month.

Theatre tickets, transport and autumn clothing were the biggest upward contributors.

The latest figures mean that wage growth including bonuses, which is currently at 2.6%, has fallen behind inflation meaning Brits are once again getting progressively poorer in real terms.

Emma-Lou Montgomery, associate director for personal investing at Fidelity International, called the inflation figures “a body blow to UK households.”


Brexit uncertainty

Experts believe Brexit uncertainty could push inflation up further.

“Trade friction could see a material decline in Sterling, raising inflation significantly above current levels and leading to higher wage demands at a time of limited political strength,” said Nick Dixon, investment director at Aegon.

“Such wage pressure could exacerbate inflation and add pressure on the Bank of England to raise interest rates faster and higher than markets anticipate.”

Ben Brettell, senior economist at Hargeaves Lansdown, said: “The numbers reinforce expectations that policymakers will gently lift interest rates over the next couple of years.

“The figures won’t come as welcome news to the Bank of England though – they’ll be desperate to leave policy unchanged until we get some clarity over Brexit, and won’t want to be forced into a rate rise by accelerating prices.

“A rise to 1% is tentatively priced in for around May next year, though clearly a disorderly Brexit would force a dramatic rethink.”

There are 0 Comment(s)

You may also be interested in

Business Skills

In this section, we offer short ‘how to’ guides on harder to crack areas of business. From social media, to regulation or niche product areas, we cover it all.


Our journalists interview key industry entrepreneurs, strategists and commentators for day-to-day market insight and a strategic view of where the industry is heading. We offer lessons for success and explore the opportunities for your business

Success in Practice

Here, we share case studies fleshing out best practice to help you decide what could work for your business. Take a look at how others approached complex tasks like launching a new mortgage lender, advising on a new product area or deciding to specialise in another. Learn from others mistakes and triumphs.


Each week, we ask top mortgage and property commentators with a unique perspective to examine a key news headline, market move or regulatory or political issue.


Vote in our weekly poll here. It’s your chance to tell us what you think and be heard on the top news stories of the week. Review our archive to find out what your industry really thinks and all our coverage of the results.

Top Comments

Be part of the conversation on Mortgage Solutions. We want to hear from you. We have a tool called Disqus to tell us which stories get the most comments each week. Every Friday, the team picks the most thoughtful or opinionated contributions from our readers to enjoy again. Don’t forget to share your favourite stories from the site on social media to keep the conversation going.
Read previous post:
slow growth
London drags UK house price growth to five-year low – ONS

Average house prices in the UK increased by 3.1% in the year to July 2018 – the lowest annual rate...